Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1326.294244 1517.825125 1733.911119 1997.057898 2310.599262 2674.382136 3131.533497
2025-06-29 1011.763556 1250.028916 1545.646695 1944.442173 2476.202438 3172.212436 4171.370237
2025-07-06 839.104358 1085.442227 1409.284145 1875.127670 2543.240332 3491.310215 4984.798474
2025-07-13 763.122060 1026.945078 1391.674382 1947.146089 2798.407300 4101.092264 6345.648290
2025-07-20 691.770741 961.224120 1349.393320 1969.359758 2974.586450 4617.469367 7685.395800
2025-07-27 640.882643 916.349609 1328.165121 2015.149865 3189.140485 5231.825776 9358.934457
2025-08-03 596.149136 874.127185 1303.586704 2048.621525 3384.553234 5849.017909 11219.158777
2025-08-10 565.886135 849.978381 1303.001388 2119.542535 3655.235147 6660.853976 13744.967114
2025-08-17 530.914746 814.082123 1278.131282 2142.949116 3839.709743 7342.861540 16222.961203
2025-08-24 497.189289 776.526152 1245.642651 2146.773153 3984.837343 7974.080031 18816.382599
2025-08-31 468.194652 743.928150 1217.769651 2154.516129 4137.972561 8658.121403 21831.141417
2025-09-07 448.247534 724.814404 1211.408687 2202.374230 4384.335180 9622.063665 26093.914845
2025-09-14 411.430969 674.219260 1144.980136 2125.963454 4353.005229 9924.043421 28562.372213
2025-09-21 380.022129 630.942194 1088.480878 2063.856643 4347.009359 10302.616508 31548.085934
2025-09-28 350.688483 588.941132 1030.201806 1990.020507 4299.091026 10555.088572 34236.758431
2025-10-05 341.386978 583.032961 1040.976893 2067.385814 4640.424425 12027.483322 42718.019544
2025-10-12 327.071504 566.404550 1028.711853 2091.299787 4849.905575 13176.996738 50765.840608
2025-10-19 316.416242 555.845717 1027.558867 2140.579938 5138.795845 14689.566806 61942.384929
2025-10-26 305.290226 543.421173 1021.232609 2176.615890 5399.515319 16211.544169 74798.783806
2025-11-02 298.398140 538.789624 1030.819981 2253.001397 5796.949541 18402.589600 94368.527164
2025-11-09 287.706983 525.628015 1020.672573 2278.220802 6045.949613 20138.585528 113475.009425
2025-11-16 276.157500 509.843440 1003.281616 2282.341441 6230.390983 21700.777430 133822.308943
2025-11-23 265.740279 495.662077 988.206394 2290.685355 6432.225026 23443.596816 158892.147894